Lately the McCain campaign has been attempting to hammer home the idea that American’s should question Barack Obama’s character and judgment based on a tenuous at best association with William Ayers a former member of the Weather Underground, an organization that performed a series of bombings in the late 60′s in violent protest to the Vietnam war. McCain and Palin want American’s wondering whether or not Obama has the same radical views as those of the unrepentant but reformed domestic terrorist.
So, this begs the question. In a nation where the Justice system is supposed to be based on the principle that your innocent until proven guilty, is it fair, in a presidential election, to try and pin the radical beliefs of one man on a candidate simply because they happen to live in the same neighborhood and both worked on some of the same education boards?
Through out the history of our nation, since it?s founding in the fire of revolution in 1776, we have spent more time at war through either actual fighting or in proxy wars, than we have at peace.
We have fought wars against almost every major European power, including ones who are now our allies, such as Britain, France, Spain, Germany, Italy, as well as nations that are still not so friendly such as Russia.
America?s conflicts 1798 to 2004
We are currently fighting in two hot wars, Iraq and Afghanistan. Iraq is also a proxy war with Iran, as it has been proven that they have sent supplies and provided training to some Iraqi insurgent groups. It also appears that we have recently shot down an Iranian UAV over Iraq. We are also technically still at war with North Korea, the armistice that was signed in 1953 being merely a cessation of hostilities and not a full fledged peace treaty. The US also has peacekeepers in many nations, including Bosnia and Kosovo.
With the war in Iraq appearing to have an end finally in sight, even though Afghanistan appears to be falling apart, and a proxy war brewing in Pakistan, many American?s are wondering where we might end up next. Will we ever see true peace?
Some figure the next war will be in Darfur where the Sudanese government has been leading a campaign of genocide for years, while the western nations had the attention on the middle east. Others figure we will be dragged into a shooting war with ground forces in Pakistan in conjunction with the continuing campaign in Afghanistan. We all ready have advisers there and have used Predator drones to attack targets inside the tribal areas. Pakistan is considered to be the number one nation in the world susceptible to sudden collapse of the current government, and they have a nuclear arsenal that while currently is targeted at India, who they have fought many wars with over Kashmir, could be used in terrorist attacks if placed under the control of Al-Qaida.
However, our next war could be a lot closer to home. I?m not talking about Glen Beck?s wet dreams of a second American Civil War, or Stephen Colbert?s Doom Bunker. I am talking about Mexico. According to the Joint Operating Environment (JOE) report put out by the Department of Defense?
In terms of worst-case scenarios for the Joint Force and indeed the world, two large and important states bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse: Pakistan and Mexico.
The Mexican possibility may seem less likely, but the government, its politicians, police, and judicial infrastructure are all under sustained assault and pressure by criminal gangs and drug cartels. How that internal conflict turns out over the next several years will have a major impact on the stability of the Mexican state. Any descent by Mexico into chaos would demand an American response based on the serious implications for homeland security alone.
War between the United States and Mexico is not new, It happened in the 1840?s and in the early 1900?s. In this scenario we are not necessarily fighting against the Mexican government, but we become embroiled into the growing war that President Felipe Calder?n has been waging against the drug cartels.
Since January 2008, more than 8000 people have been killed, police, solders, and government officials and their families among them. In the city of Ju?rez, just across the boarder from El Paso, Mayor, Jose Reyes Ferriz had to move his family into El Paso after gangs threatened to kill him and the family. But that might not stop them as the gangs have vowed to kill the family even if they are in the US. It is believed that the Mexican gangs and drug cartels have a dominating presence in as many as 230 major cities in the US, stretching as far as Anchorage, Alaska. Warnings have been issued by the state department to tourists, which bites into the valuable spring break tourism that Mexico enjoys.
In the US, we have the Posse Comitatus Act and the Constitution that significantly limits the use of Military forces on US soil for any purpose. In Mexico that limitation does not exist, so the Mexican military has been heavily involved in the conflict with the cartels and gangs. They recently even were able to arrest Vicente Zambada who allegedly is a top member of the Sinaloa cartel.
If Mexican officials can’t get the cartels under control, and/or the cartels start taking out senior government officials, Mexico could find itself on the fast track to collapse. Sharing a boarder with a failed nation would be totally unacceptable to US authority, and would be a serious breach in national security. We would be left with no choice but to act and most likely militarily. Would a fight like this stay within Mexican boarders? Probably not. If the gangs and cartels all ready have the hold over US cities and US gangs, the fighting could become domestic overnight, as gangs turn into armed bands bent on preserving the drug trade.
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Cross posted on The Pajama Pundit